Chaos Theory · Team 5468 — match13

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5468Chaos Theory

Bend, Oregon, USA

#1191 of 3763 · 33-40-1 · 45% win rate

PNW District Wilsonville Event

Mar 7 – 9, 2019

Rank 245-9

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 5	997 2733 5468	6443 6845 4125	45–44	65%	45–35
Qual 10	4692 2915 5468	7032 1425 6445	39–40	55%	37–62
Qual 15	1359 5198 2990	5468 3636 955	34–38	60%	33–21
Qual 21	847 2811 5468	753 4692 2733	42–34	78%	30–48
Qual 30	3673 847 4043	7034 5468 5198	39–41	58%	52–33
Qual 36	5468 6696 7032	5977 955 6343	24–32	77%	26–10
Qual 39	2990 6343 3673	7204 6831 5468	43–35	71%	38–23
Qual 46	3636 6696 3673	3711 5468 753	33–45	85%	35–69
Qual 51	5977 4057 5468	5085 997 1540	34–63	97%	36–66
Qual 60	3711 4057 4051	4043 5468 957	51–53	58%	51–58
Qual 66	1540 5468 2550	2811 7204 2915	62–37	98%	77–33
Qual 71	6831 2733 2915	5468 2990 6445	50–51	57%	58–52
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 2-1	5468 3711 2550	6445 1425 6845	56–57	58%	22–63
Quarterfinal 2-2	5468 3711 2550	6445 1425 6845	54–58	67%	34–65

PNW District SunDome Event

Mar 14 – 16, 2019

Industrial Design

Rank 613-4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	3218 6443 5468	1595 2926 3712	47–40	64%	49–21
Qual 11	3220 2522 7776	3711 5468 7696	36–43	57%	42–48
Qual 13	3693 5468 5803	4911 4104 2944	51–39	80%	45–35
Qual 19	5468 4980 2522	2944 7776 6442	49–34	92%	40–30
Qual 23	3220 5468 5920	2605 2148 3218	36–30	74%	43–37
Qual 27	6442 3711 6076	5295 4692 5468	47–48	52%	41–49
Qual 35	5920 7803 4980	5468 3712 3693	37–34	62%	84–16
Qual 41	2522 2811 4692	2910 2148 5468	56–58	51%	62–87
Qual 47	5468 4911 6076	7696 4980 4125	39–52	81%	49–41
Qual 49	3712 7696 4131	5468 7776 4061	34–51	91%	45–73
Qual 52	2926 6442 5468	5295 3693 4104	39–41	60%	47–23
Qual 62	7803 5468 4125	6443 4061 5920	44–59	78%	47–55
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 3-1	5468 4692 2944	5295 2811 5920	55–45	76%	61–52
Quarterfinal 3-2	5468 4692 2944	5295 2811 5920	56–45	78%	62–53
Semifinal 2-1	5468 4692 2944	2522 6443 7776	57–63	66%	50–60
Semifinal 2-2	5468 4692 2944	2522 6443 7776	56–63	67%	66–61
Semifinal 2-3	5468 4692 2944	2522 6443 7776	57–63	65%	55–58

PNW District Lake Oswego Event

Mar 28 – 30, 2019

Rank 166-8

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	4057 7448 2635	5975 5468 1510	35–37	55%	50–40
Qual 11	3674 4110 2811	5970 5468 4662	60–44	88%	74–54
Qual 17	6443 5970 2374	4057 4110 5468	51–56	59%	60–58
Qual 23	6445 5468 2471	2411 7204 3192	57–30	97%	75–23
Qual 26	5468 2411 1432	4043 5198 4127	48–54	61%	26–71
Qual 31	5468 4127 5450	847 955 2898	50–49	54%	58–35
Qual 42	2521 4488 5468	1432 997 6445	69–64	67%	65–61
Qual 46	4110 1571 6465	7204 957 5468	52–44	76%	46–43
Qual 50	5975 7204 1432	5468 2898 997	37–62	97%	32–68
Qual 55	6343 2635 5468	2471 7204 4057	51–53	52%	63–65
Qual 64	5468 4043 7032	955 1510 3812	61–40	84%	67–59
Qual 69	2521 5975 5450	3192 5468 3674	53–66	71%	56–72
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 1-1	4043 4488 4110	5468 6343 5450	81–57	95%	70–55
Quarterfinal 1-2	4043 4488 4110	5468 6343 5450	81–57	95%	82–60

Pacific Northwest FIRST District Championship

Apr 3 – 6, 2019

Finalist Woodie Flowers — Charlotte Van Valkenburg

Rank 607-11

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	948 4488 4469	492 5468 1318	80–73	59%	77–73
Qual 16	4513 5937 2733	4579 2910 5468	59–80	88%	51–93
Qual 30	3588 3574 5468	3636 4043 4057	61–76	80%	62–88
Qual 42	3588 2898 7034	5937 5468 5588	56–56	52%	59–40
Qual 48	4131 2928 3711	5468 1983 2980	74–67	66%	72–67
Qual 55	5468 2147 3223	5803 7776 5827	69–73	57%	82–66
Qual 67	1899 1983 4980	360 1425 5468	72–63	68%	67–58
Qual 79	4512 5468 2976	2521 5085 4579	68–67	55%	52–55
Qual 91	5468 1540 3826	3674 5588 1425	79–77	57%	70–72
Qual 103	2976 2046 2907	5468 4911 4060	85–74	79%	74–61
Qual 117	4043 5468 6445	4125 3786 3024	71–49	95%	77–54
Qual 122	3024 4692 5468	4110 2097 6845	52–66	84%	65–74
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 4-1	2930 4488 5468	1540 3674 6443	80–89	74%	79–77
Quarterfinal 4-2	2930 4488 5468	1540 3674 6443	80–89	67%	76–66
Semifinal 2-1	2990 4911 948	2930 4488 5468	89–80	70%	73–100
Semifinal 2-2	2990 4911 4043	2930 4488 5468	98–80	86%	53–74
Finals
Final 1	2910 2046 2907	2930 4488 5468	101–80	90%	91–80
Final 2	2910 2046 2907	2930 4488 5468	101–81	91%	91–60

Turing Division

Apr 17 – 20, 2019

4613393741255468

Rank 582-8-1

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 6	6995 5872 5468	4613 5716 6025	54–70	78%	37–55
Qual 31	2556 7753 7464	6315 6072 5468	51–52	51%	65–52
Qual 38	6579 2582 1726	5468 6957 6321	76–52	95%	75–50
Qual 45	5468 6025 3937	2839 4513 3196	67–76	68%	85–90
Qual 59	5468 6377 7621	2930 649 7308	62–79	85%	69–89
Qual 67	5930 1730 6391	3035 5468 5012	62–75	79%	78–68
Qual 78	4522 5468 1619	4451 5805 3966	78–68	72%	96–74
Qual 99	5857 5468 2582	3933 1868 2383	61–76	74%	49–68
Qual 105	3284 7528 6831	1700 1726 5468	55–72	79%	46–77
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 2	3937 5468 4613	649 7308 2383	83–77	60%	80–84

Nov 1 – 2, 2019

8-6

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	4061 9513 3145	5468 9216 2130	47–54	60%	52–28
Qual 4	2147 9513 5468	3216 9061 9147	62–35	89%	21–34
Qual 8	7461 4513 6076	5468 9980 9513	48–41	60%	31–2
Qual 10	9216 9147 5920	3145 5468 4513	40–60	78%	21–52
Qual 15	6076 9216 2147	9920 6442 5468	53–45	62%	40–56
Qual 17	5468 9147 4980	6442 9130 9216	53–36	72%	27–42
Qual 20	4513 6076 4980	4061 5468 9061	59–52	60%	43–79
Qual 24	7461 5920 5468	9061 4980 2147	51–65	67%	45–39
Qual 26	9130 5468 9980	2130 7461 4513	41–60	72%	46–41
Playoffs
Semifinal 2-1	5468 9130 9061	4513 6076 3216	41–49	58%	54–51
Semifinal 2-2	5468 9130 5920	2130 4513 6076	49–59	60%	66–48
Finals
Final 1	9216 3145 4061	5468 9130 5920	47–49	51%	61–56
Final 2	3145 4980 4061	5468 9130 5920	59–49	61%	62–66
Final 3	3145 4980 4061	5468 9130 5920	59–49	61%	75–66