Aluminum Falcons · Team 2168 — match13

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2168Aluminum Falcons

Groton, Connecticut, USA

#45 of 3763 · 61-26 · 70% win rate

NE District SE Mass Event

Mar 8 – 10, 2019

Winner Industrial Design

Rank 314-4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	4169 69 2168	2523 6301 23	46–38	65%	42–35
Qual 8	6224 2168 78	1786 58 1965	51–33	90%	63–9
Qual 17	6763 78 23	1153 6333 2168	52–44	77%	70–67
Qual 22	6301 2079 4169	5846 2168 246	40–41	59%	17–68
Qual 32	5813 2168 6763	6529 2877 69	57–41	84%	35–61
Qual 37	3236 2168 1965	121 97 125	54–51	54%	75–35
Qual 43	6201 121 6333	3205 23 2168	40–60	91%	39–62
Qual 46	6731 3205 58	2168 6201 172	45–49	71%	58–71
Qual 55	6529 5112 173	2168 121 1786	45–57	77%	44–60
Qual 64	2168 97 5422	1100 58 2523	58–48	68%	55–57
Qual 68	4176 5846 1153	6731 6529 2168	58–55	52%	75–48
Qual 75	4048 4151 5422	2168 3566 88	35–76	100%	19–55
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 1-1	2168 78 2523	6224 4151 23	75–44	99%	75–38
Quarterfinal 1-2	2168 78 2523	6224 4151 23	75–44	99%	81–47
Semifinal 1-1	2168 78 2523	2877 3236 3205	76–62	84%	98–69
Semifinal 1-2	2168 78 2523	2877 3236 3205	77–63	84%	66–56
Finals
Final 1	2168 78 2523	88 69 5813	77–66	77%	84–62
Final 2	2168 78 2523	88 69 5813	77–66	79%	79–69

FMA District Springside Chestnut Hill Academy Event

Mar 15 – 17, 2019

Winner Industrial Design

Rank 414-4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 3	1495 433 1168	5407 2729 2168	52–67	86%	59–72
Qual 10	5407 1218 709	2168 2729 708	66–60	62%	79–77
Qual 15	2729 4373 7599	5181 2539 2168	45–79	99%	41–89
Qual 19	321 5404 486	2180 1168 2168	58–65	67%	68–60
Qual 25	1495 2168 433	3974 2234 486	70–46	98%	54–47
Qual 30	2168 7877 7599	4342 708 433	50–61	77%	48–63
Qual 32	3974 2095 2168	7414 2016 752	60–45	85%	72–43
Qual 39	293 2168 4342	7877 321 5407	68–57	77%	75–51
Qual 42	5404 2168 7414	752 4637 7599	77–33	100%	81–23
Qual 51	2168 486 4637	293 103 7877	64–56	74%	52–54
Qual 53	2168 225 2180	4637 2729 752	73–44	99%	63–44
Qual 58	2180 103 1168	316 2168 2016	64–71	68%	62–86
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 3-1	2168 5404 1495	316 433 709	79–67	85%	85–46
Quarterfinal 3-2	2168 5404 1495	316 433 709	80–65	88%	72–65
Semifinal 2-1	2168 5404 1495	5407 708 5181	80–69	79%	79–45
Semifinal 2-2	2168 5404 1495	5407 708 5181	80–68	83%	96–69
Finals
Final 1	2016 1218 486	2168 5404 1495	63–81	92%	70–86
Final 2	2016 1218 486	2168 5404 1495	63–82	95%	73–83

NE District Rhode Island Event

Mar 22 – 24, 2019

Winner Gracious Professionalism

Rank 215-5

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	2712 4097 1100	716 2168 2713	38–61	98%	37–68
Qual 7	4176 2168 2712	2713 61 3719	58–39	90%	31–59
Qual 13	2168 133 5000	1153 4176 2713	83–53	97%	82–59
Qual 16	5112 6620 2168	716 5000 2712	61–49	77%	69–45
Qual 21	4151 2168 4908	6620 3719 5494	58–47	73%	65–34
Qual 28	2168 190 5494	173 3146 133	69–79	65%	52–95
Qual 30	3236 4176 61	4048 173 2168	63–74	77%	78–97
Qual 35	78 2713 3146	4796 2168 3236	62–65	56%	49–72
Qual 43	1100 3236 2168	121 4908 190	75–58	90%	90–40
Qual 46	1740 5112 4048	190 2712 2168	44–67	93%	48–71
Qual 53	5846 2168 61	4796 1350 716	82–52	99%	71–41
Qual 58	78 190 1153	2168 1740 1350	87–65	98%	77–66
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 1-1	2168 78 4796	4048 4151 4176	77–47	99%	87–52
Quarterfinal 1-2	2168 78 4796	4048 4151 4176	78–48	99%	51–56
Quarterfinal 1-3	2168 78 4796	4048 4151 4176	76–48	97%	81–47
Semifinal 1-1	2168 78 4796	1100 1153 61	77–76	54%	72–66
Semifinal 1-2	2168 78 4796	1100 1153 61	77–75	53%	67–62
Finals
Final 1	2168 78 4796	133 173 2713	76–73	54%	94–78
Final 2	2168 78 4796	133 173 2713	77–73	58%	67–84
Final 3	2168 78 4796	133 173 2713	77–74	56%	78–58

New England District Championship

Apr 10 – 13, 2019

Winner Innovation in Control

Rank 614-5

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 7	1071 237 230	3654 501 2168	81–79	55%	99–66
Qual 20	7869 509 172	3555 1729 2168	68–88	84%	74–68
Qual 27	78 1474 88	1721 2168 2067	90–72	84%	89–93
Qual 39	1073 2168 176	558 1768 319	88–81	62%	82–88
Qual 46	2168 1058 228	1922 7416 3958	78–70	64%	95–69
Qual 55	2168 178 4041	1519 4909 1153	88–96	66%	94–72
Qual 66	5687 7407 2370	95 2168 6329	97–86	68%	66–49
Qual 79	69 1721 5422	4311 133 2168	58–95	95%	41–93
Qual 95	2168 58 1474	4041 7438 716	87–75	73%	104–74
Qual 101	238 6691 3654	166 2168 7438	72–79	62%	78–110
Qual 109	2168 319 7127	228 195 1735	91–78	71%	98–88
Qual 126	5735 1729 3236	1277 3467 2168	70–78	65%	58–95
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 3-1	2168 125 558	1519 2370 1922	96–94	55%	113–90
Quarterfinal 3-2	2168 125 558	1519 2370 1922	97–94	58%	101–78
Semifinal 2-1	2168 125 558	5687 133 1153	98–105	59%	101–78
Semifinal 2-2	2168 125 558	5687 133 1153	98–103	54%	112–104
Finals
Final 1	176 230 4311	2168 125 558	88–99	65%	94–100
Final 2	176 230 4311	2168 125 558	89–99	64%	90–53
Final 3	176 230 4311	2168 125 558	89–96	57%	86–92

Apr 24 – 27, 2019

235821683414590

Rank 304-8

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 3	1285 346 2168	2451 1629 5934	95–80	77%	100–52
Qual 19	5618 4590 548	2168 977 6574	79–92	71%	89–75
Qual 34	7460 7531 2168	7457 5401 6328	71–74	54%	72–89
Qual 43	6909 2168 3324	1155 4907 4917	89–69	87%	79–86
Qual 48	3026 6964 4145	1747 2168 5667	62–88	91%	42–105
Qual 66	7850 2534 525	834 2168 4476	78–93	84%	93–92
Qual 71	2168 1262 4338	3357 834 2626	91–74	90%	94–89
Qual 87	610 2358 27	2168 4967 7457	84–97	72%	85–59
Qual 95	229 977 7554	2168 4122 1086	63–82	83%	56–75
Qual 112	5585 4329 2168	3620 3572 5422	75–78	52%	56–69
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 2-1	2168 2358 341	3986 2576 27	78–92	75%	93–104
Quarterfinal 2-2	2168 2358 341	3986 2576 27	80–93	72%	95–108

CT State Robotics Championship

May 11, 2019

Rank 19-3

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	2168 155 230	7407 999 176	81–77	59%	71–51
Qual 10	228 195 181	558 2064 2168	86–81	60%	61–66
Qual 17	4557 2168 177	3182 3634 173	88–58	92%	97–36
Qual 20	2168 2712 3146	178 2836 2064	81–66	77%	73–47
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 1-1	195 2168 4055	558 181 7407	90–76	73%	77–51
Quarterfinal 1-2	195 2168 4055	558 181 7407	90–76	74%	87–75
Semifinal 1-1	195 2168 4055	3146 3461 3555	90–84	61%	98–55
Semifinal 1-2	195 2168 4055	3146 3461 3555	90–84	61%	61–64
Semifinal 1-3	195 2168 4055	3146 3461 3555	90–84	61%	85–60
Finals
Final 1	195 2168 4055	176 177 3654	90–82	65%	93–92
Final 2	195 2168 4055	176 177 3654	90–82	65%	93–94
Final 3	195 2168 4055	176 177 3654	90–82	65%	90–93

Jun 8 – 9, 2019

216869464012262

Rank 411-4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 8	467 126 1729	2168 7127 1474	70–90	74%	54–111
Qual 13	4097 5687 166	7462 2168 467	77–65	66%	44–61
Qual 23	2168 501 3461	5943 195 121	85–75	65%	77–55
Qual 28	1991 131 501	1073 4176 2168	62–72	64%	49–77
Qual 38	2168 5556 7407	4909 3623 2084	78–51	79%	79–48
Qual 54	1058 3719 694	195 2712 2168	71–89	72%	75–72
Qual 59	5813 2168 1100	3461 2712 3323	77–58	72%	70–55
Qual 65	157 1474 2791	2713 555 2168	78–58	72%	62–26
Round Robin
Quarterfinal pool 5	694 6401 2168	166 7407 1058	79–65	84%	97–74
Quarterfinal pool 11	694 2262 2168	5421 3719 7153	83–43	99%	92–52
Semifinal pool 1	694 2262 2168	4048 157 1729	81–67	68%	98–57
Semifinal pool 5	694 6401 2168	3461 5943 3323	79–51	96%	95–47
Semifinal pool 8	694 6401 2168	4041 3467 7462	79–66	75%	62–80
Semifinal pool 11	694 6401 2168	6328 3623 2791	79–62	80%	54–94
Semifinal pool 13	694 6401 2168	501 1073 195	79–57	90%	58–51

Indiana Robotics Invitational

Jul 12 – 13, 2019

Rank 510-4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	88 1690 33	548 364 2168	113–101	62%	80–103
Qual 22	48 2168 5190	2767 4265 1684	94–95	53%	79–82
Qual 33	3357 330 2168	7498 1241 4776	96–93	53%	100–91
Qual 45	1718 225 6443	2168 5801 2767	87–97	62%	96–77
Qual 51	3641 107 5406	2168 2075 1807	102–97	58%	87–90
Qual 61	1114 910 3357	930 2168 1024	106–89	74%	95–96
Qual 74	2168 5511 1747	7457 461 2075	84–77	60%	113–73
Qual 81	1241 1923 2168	3604 340 2468	85–84	53%	95–83
Qual 99	88 217 2168	1730 2614 4607	84–73	66%	78–72
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 2-1	1023 1241 5406	319 4028 2168	97–102	58%	90–96
Quarterfinal 2-2	1023 1241 5406	2168 4028 319	97–101	58%	94–95
Semifinal 1-1	1114 195 2056	2168 4028 319	109–101	62%	89–111
Semifinal 1-2	1114 195 2056	2168 4028 319	108–102	59%	104–85
Semifinal 1-3	1114 195 2056	2168 4028 319	108–102	60%	112–97

Tech Valley Robot Rumble

Oct 26, 2019

Rank 86-5

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 4	6300 6328 20B	2168 4508 2791	60–79	73%	49–65
Qual 6	2168 716 6723	2791 1493 5881	77–71	64%	47–68
Qual 10	229 7030 2168	4203 7651 6484	70–37	98%	35–43
Qual 15	7651 839 2168	20B 7718 2370	64–55	64%	52–27
Qual 18	7030 6300 6933	1493 2168 5943	59–81	79%	41–67
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 4-1	2168 6933 3044	7651 5149 7030	78–45	97%	53–48
Quarterfinal 4-2	2168 6933 3044	7651 5149 7030	78–45	97%	53–54
Quarterfinal 4-3	2168 6933 3044	7651 5149 7030	78–45	92%	58–41
Semifinal 2-1	250 1493 2370	2168 6933 3044	72–78	54%	58–43
Semifinal 2-2	250 1493 2370	2168 6933 3044	72–78	54%	49–57
Semifinal 2-3	250 1493 2370	2168 6933 3044	72–78	54%	64–54