Rolling Thunder · Team 1511 — match13

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1511Rolling Thunder

Penfield, New York, USA

#438 of 2510 · 17-16 · 52% win rate

Finger Lakes Regional

Feb 28 – Mar 2, 2013

Woodie Flowers — Lawrence Lewis Jr.Dean's List — Ciana Robertson Gracious Professionalism

Rank 403-6

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	3181 2228 3003	3842 1511 2809	41–44	54%	47–23
Qual 15	1511 1585 578	4203 1518 1450	40–34	54%	30–23
Qual 20	3838 48 174	4093 340 1511	57–52	53%	67–28
Qual 25	3157 4505 2265	1126 1511 1507	30–55	77%	16–79
Qual 34	1559 3687 176	3951 1511 378	41–52	65%	81–62
Qual 43	1111 156 1511	250 1765 1405	43–49	58%	40–54
Qual 55	3173 191 1591	174 1511 907	61–41	78%	33–20
Qual 59	1511 2265 2228	3799 340 3015	45–66	79%	18–64
Qual 67	2340 3015 1511	73 145 888	56–42	73%	69–43

Boston Regional

Mar 21 – 23, 2013

Winner Gracious Professionalism Safety

Rank 3710-6

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	2423 1099 1153	3173 1511 1754	45–58	70%	41–95
Qual 15	1100 2871 4048	1511 2877 1973	54–40	74%	69–21
Qual 23	4311 4176 1511	4796 2079 529	39–19	83%	25–0
Qual 28	383 2523 2013	125 1965 1511	54–69	76%	55–107
Qual 36	3466 2877 246	88 2713 1511	48–47	53%	43–30
Qual 45	1511 23 3479	1474 97 1973	51–30	85%	14–65
Qual 52	1511 3236 229	3927 2876 2349	60–41	84%	70–56
Qual 63	3958 1511 4474	4761 846 501	42–46	57%	30–37
Qual 74	69 1350 3479	2262 4151 1511	63–28	89%	66–37
Qual 83	125 126 88	1474 1768 1511	109–57	97%	138–66
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 1-1	1511 126 125	4761 3236 2876	113–49	99%	145–66
Quarterfinal 1-2	126 125 1511	4761 2876 3236	114–50	99%	137–44
Semifinal 1-1	126 1511 125	3780 229 1153	116–83	86%	85–75
Semifinal 1-2	126 1511 125	1153 3780 229	114–82	86%	134–125
Finals
Final 1	125 1511 126	3173 846 88	115–87	85%	129–69
Final 2	125 1511 126	88 3173 846	116–86	86%	150–126

Newton Division

Apr 24 – 27, 2013

Rank 554-4

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 1	341 3756 180	4828 1511 4666	116–46	100%	128–9
Qual 24	1511 25 2612	2471 1646 1410	96–94	54%	83–89
Qual 42	303 128 3931	217 195 1511	129–102	78%	165–144
Qual 65	2054 1511 1741	492 4451 1899	128–98	79%	121–149
Qual 74	1305 1511 1515	79 296 2283	58–71	64%	82–52
Qual 94	141 122 4487	1511 1538 68	75–140	98%	89–213
Qual 106	2252 1511 604	2619 2974 190	90–123	80%	162–130
Qual 119	1671 131 3802	2052 3997 1511	101–110	58%	121–169

Where is Wolcott

Jun 14, 2013

1-6

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	177 1511 1099	228 3654 558	78–77	55%	74–60
Qual 5	2836 237 181	3525 1511 3654	52–66	59%	65–53
Qual 13	2064 176 3718	666 1511 181	71–64	60%	48–15
Qual 15	2836 1511 3461	716 178 155	42–87	79%	71–90
Qual 19	1511 2067 178	195 1796 181	71–112	73%	54–135
Qual 25	3654 2067 571	1071 558 1511	50–83	74%	58–40
Qual 30	3525 230 4055	571 1511 176	79–70	62%	78–50

Rochester Ruckus

Oct 12, 2013

7-6

Match	Red	Blue	Pred	Win prob	Final
Qual 2	378 1450 250	1511 1585 3003	88–63	79%	21–6
Qual 9	1511 2228 3951	3710 639 3157	57–49	61%	29–6
Qual 15	4039 4930 3003	3015 1405 1511	87–82	58%	74–40
Qual 20	1493 1511 1559	1518 3181 2791	51–45	59%	51–19
Qual 28	1511 1507 174	610 3044 1334	64–152	97%	59–117
Qual 35	1241 1405 340	1334 20 1511	114–123	54%	71–138
Playoffs
Quarterfinal 1-1	191 610 1511	378 2791 4930	114–55	95%	130–51
Quarterfinal 1-2	191 610 1511	4930 2791 378	115–55	96%	192–72
Semifinal 1-1	610 1511 191	3015 4001 340	119–97	72%	107–134
Semifinal 1-2	610 191 1511	340 3015 4001	118–99	70%	131–105
Semifinal 1-3	610 191 1511	4001 3015 340	119–99	71%	148–124
Finals
Final 1	610 1511 191	3951 4039 1334	120–120	54%	61–128
Final 2	610 1511 191	3951 4039 1334	117–121	52%	73–141