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Qual 242026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red115
268219.3
453481.6
1117947.7
Blue106
1128531.6
1135327.1
122559.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149940200300400500600700800115106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+3Auto
+4Teleop
Endgame+6
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Fuel12
15Tower9
24Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Transition6
31Shifts 1–227
28Shifts 3–427
8Endgame fuel15
76Total teleop75
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +9
15Foul points0
115Total score106
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4534
#21
81.62.5
74.8→72.3
Auto16.3
Teleop65.5
End-0.2
red by 22.3
1225
#30
59.30.6
49.5→50.1
Auto9.9
Teleop48.5
End0.9
Second
11179
#17
47.72.5
40.3→37.8
Auto15.2
Teleop32.3
End0.3
red by 16.2
11285
#27
31.60.6
27.8→28.4
Auto5.9
Teleop25.5
End0.1
Third
2682
#36
19.32.5
21.9→19.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.2
End-0.2
blue by 7.8
11353
#41
27.10.6
20.3→20.9
Auto9.9
Teleop17.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
50%Energized oddsMissed14%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed