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Qual 232026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red369
4561127.2
345918.8
482872.6
Blue253
205990.9
319641.5
689453.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149177050100200250300350369253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+42Auto
+131Teleop
+131Endgame
+116Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
36Fuel12
27Tower9
63Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +89
46Transition49
128Shifts 1–251
85Shifts 3–468
47Endgame fuel49
306Total teleop217
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +116
0Foul points15
369Total score253
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#4
127.214.8
79.9→94.7
Auto23.4
Teleop103.8
End0.1
red by 36.3
2059
#13
90.94.7
85.8→90.6
Auto10.6
Teleop80.2
End0.1
Second
4828
#7
72.614.8
56.7→71.5
Auto19.1
Teleop52.1
End1.3
red by 19.2
6894
#50
53.44.7
53.4→58.1
Auto11.7
Teleop41.1
End0.6
Third
3459
#43
18.814.8
10.6→25.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.1
End0.2
blue by 22.6
3196
#28
41.54.7
28.0→32.7
Auto7.8
Teleop33.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
48%Energized oddsEarned72%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsEarned1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed