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Qual 162026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red323
1533103.7
205990.9
872776.0
Blue132
791870.7
319641.5
1117947.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2341220100200300400323132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+6Auto
+191Teleop
+191Endgame
+191Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
22Fuel19
18Tower15
40Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +185
41Transition10
118Shifts 1–253
83Shifts 3–420
41Endgame fuel15
283Total teleop98
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +191
0Foul points0
323Total score132
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#8
103.77.4
75.3→82.7
Auto19.1
Teleop84.9
End-0.3
red by 33.0
7918
#15
70.70.0
64.3→64.2
Auto12.0
Teleop57.9
End0.8
Second
2059
#13
90.97.4
78.5→85.8
Auto10.6
Teleop80.2
End0.1
red by 43.2
11179
#17
47.70.0
40.3→40.3
Auto15.2
Teleop32.3
End0.3
Third
8727
#20
76.07.4
58.6→66.0
Auto10.2
Teleop66.3
End-0.4
red by 34.6
3196
#28
41.50.0
28.1→28.0
Auto7.8
Teleop33.7
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
96%Energized oddsEarned51%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed