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Qual 152026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red331
493563.8
482872.6
4795130.1
Blue206
453481.6
516054.0
663951.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281400100200300400331206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+39Auto
+115Teleop
+115Endgame
+125Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
40Fuel12
24Tower13
64Total auto25
TeleoperatedRed +76
40Transition28
117Shifts 1–245
62Shifts 3–456
33Endgame fuel47
252Total teleop176
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +125
15Foul points5
331Total score206
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#3
130.17.1
106.6→113.7
Auto22.7
Teleop107.6
End-0.2
red by 48.5
4534
#21
81.63.6
71.1→74.8
Auto16.3
Teleop65.5
End-0.2
Second
4828
#7
72.67.1
49.6→56.7
Auto19.1
Teleop52.1
End1.3
red by 18.6
5160
#25
54.03.6
49.9→53.6
Auto13.9
Teleop39.7
End0.4
Third
4935
#12
63.87.1
53.2→60.3
Auto8.7
Teleop55.3
End-0.3
red by 12.7
6639
#22
51.03.6
25.5→29.1
Auto8.9
Teleop42.3
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
88%Energized oddsEarned73%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed