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Qual 22026 Illinois State Championship
Red179
270468.8
4655182.1
478745.4
Blue273
11291.7
3061150.0
348826.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832180100400500179273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+94
Endgame+94
Fouls+94
AutonomousBlue +8
25Fuel24
39Tower48
64Total auto72
TeleoperatedBlue +86
16Transition25
40Shifts 1–291
37Shifts 3–446
22Endgame fuel39
115Total teleop201
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +94
0Foul points0
179Total score273
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4655
#3
182.15.9
146.2→140.3
Auto38.7
Teleop143.3
End0.1
red by 32.2
3061
#4
150.03.7
122.5→126.2
Auto36.9
Teleop113.4
End-0.4
Second
2704
#16
68.85.9
77.6→71.7
Auto8.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
blue by 22.9
112
#8
91.73.7
60.4→64.1
Auto10.8
Teleop80.8
End0.0
Third
4787
#17
45.45.9
43.9→38.0
Auto9.0
Teleop36.2
End0.2
red by 19.3
3488
#20
26.13.7
34.7→38.4
Auto7.7
Teleop18.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
68%Energized oddsMissed74%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
5%Supercharged oddsMissed3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed