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Qual 12026 Illinois State Championship
Red288
178164.1
235863.1
10435150.9
Blue82
809680.1
888044.7
306742.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233183010030040050060028882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+21Auto
+206Teleop
+206Endgame
+206Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
18Fuel9
26Tower14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +185
22Transition6
63Shifts 1–223
103Shifts 3–419
56Endgame fuel11
244Total teleop59
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +206
0Foul points0
288Total score82
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10435
#2
150.94.6
122.5→127.1
Auto21.1
Teleop129.6
End0.1
red by 70.8
8096
#6
80.16.7
71.7→65.0
Auto10.5
Teleop69.8
End-0.2
Second
1781
#12
64.14.6
50.1→54.7
Auto13.0
Teleop50.4
End0.6
red by 19.4
8880
#18
44.76.7
67.9→61.2
Auto10.3
Teleop34.3
End0.1
Third
2358
#9
63.14.6
46.8→51.4
Auto7.5
Teleop55.6
End-0.1
red by 21.1
3067
#21
42.06.7
43.2→36.5
Auto7.9
Teleop34.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
93%Energized oddsEarned97%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed