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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+13
+125Teleop
+175Endgame
+180Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
41Total auto54
TeleoperatedRed +138
260Total teleop122
AirshipRed +50
150Total endgame100
Penalties & totalRed +180
5Foul points0
456Total score276
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
blue by 4.6
Second
blue by 17.7
