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Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds
Score breakdownFIRST Steamworks
Margin
Auto+6
+139Teleop
+189Endgame
+194Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
39Total auto45
TeleoperatedRed +145
269Total teleop124
AirshipRed +50
150Total endgame100
Penalties & totalRed +194
5Foul points0
463Total score269
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
red by 7.6
Second
red by 3.9
