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Qual 82026 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red91
467479.0
136914.7
37958.7
Blue315
2783116.7
1013721.6
4065130.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11919105010015025030035040091315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+214
Endgame+224
Fouls+224
AutonomousBlue +24
17Fuel20
11Tower32
28Total auto52
TeleoperatedBlue +190
11Transition51
29Shifts 1–2105
14Shifts 3–447
9Endgame fuel50
63Total teleop253
EndgameBlue +10
0Tower10
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +224
0Foul points0
91Total score315
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#6
79.02.5
45.1→42.7
Auto10.1
Teleop69.0
End-0.1
blue by 51.8
4065
#3
130.89.3
102.2→111.6
Auto15.6
Teleop108.2
End7.0
Second
379
#12
58.73.7
45.1→41.4
Auto7.3
Teleop51.5
End-0.1
blue by 58.0
2783
#4
116.715.5
54.2→69.8
Auto23.6
Teleop91.4
End1.7
Third
1369
#37
14.73.7
34.0→30.3
Auto5.4
Teleop8.5
End0.8
blue by 6.9
10137
#25
21.615.5
18.9→34.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
61%Energized oddsMissed80%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed