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Qual 412026 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red71
1013721.6
146641.8
144527.0
Blue64
877812.4
1127517.5
909722.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864601001502002507164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+11
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
8Fuel13
7Tower13
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +18
7Transition5
21Shifts 1–214
22Shifts 3–413
6Endgame fuel6
56Total teleop38
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
71Total score64
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1466
#11
41.80.8
37.5→36.7
Auto6.2
Teleop35.7
End-0.2
red by 19.1
9097
#40
22.71.5
23.9→25.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.7
End1.4
Second
1445
#13
27.00.8
17.6→16.9
Auto6.3
Teleop20.9
End-0.1
red by 9.5
11275
#38
17.51.5
19.4→21.0
Auto7.2
Teleop11.1
End-0.7
Third
10137
#25
21.60.8
22.7→21.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End0.5
red by 9.2
8778
#41
12.41.5
6.8→8.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
25%Energized oddsMissed16%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed