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Qual 162026 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red113
310269.4
877812.4
313819.0
Blue97
426542.1
549238.9
37958.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9513605020025030035011397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
7Fuel4
7Tower3
14Total auto7
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Transition15
33Shifts 1–222
23Shifts 3–432
13Endgame fuel16
79Total teleop85
EndgameRed +10
10Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +16
10Foul points5
113Total score97
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#9
69.40.4
53.3→53.7
Auto15.6
Teleop48.6
End5.2
red by 10.6
379
#12
58.73.8
41.4→37.6
Auto7.3
Teleop51.5
End-0.1
Second
3138
#30
19.00.6
30.9→31.5
Auto1.6
Teleop17.9
End-0.6
blue by 23.0
4265
#29
42.13.8
40.5→36.7
Auto7.7
Teleop34.1
End0.3
Third
8778
#41
12.40.6
13.2→13.8
Auto3.5
Teleop7.5
End1.4
blue by 26.6
5492
#24
38.93.8
44.3→40.5
Auto6.6
Teleop29.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
46%Energized oddsMissed46%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed