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Qual 292026 FMA District Centennial Event
Red177
680818.2
622621.0
484102.5
Blue47
1122525.4
692143.9
1060022.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14766010020025030035040017747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+29Auto
+130Teleop
+130Endgame
+130Fouls
AutonomousRed +29
27Fuel10
16Tower4
43Total auto14
TeleoperatedRed +101
34Transition6
48Shifts 1–29
31Shifts 3–411
21Endgame fuel7
134Total teleop33
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +130
0Foul points0
177Total score47
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#5
102.55.1
79.1→84.2
Auto13.7
Teleop89.9
End-1.1
red by 58.6
6921
#13
43.93.2
34.9→31.7
Auto4.5
Teleop38.6
End0.7
Second
6226
#14
21.03.1
23.4→26.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.0
blue by 4.4
11225
#23
25.43.2
17.0→13.9
Auto6.7
Teleop19.5
End-0.8
Third
6808
#30
18.23.1
28.2→31.3
Auto9.5
Teleop6.5
End2.2
blue by 4.6
10600
#22
22.83.2
23.5→20.4
Auto5.8
Teleop18.1
End-1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
40%Energized oddsEarned29%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed