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Match 82026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red286
776337.6
4795130.1
4561127.2
Blue264
8429106.6
872776.0
789098.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289290200250350400286264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+6Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
28Fuel22
15Tower15
43Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +16
38Transition38
85Shifts 1–267
82Shifts 3–476
38Endgame fuel46
243Total teleop227
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
286Total score264
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#3
130.10.0
126.1→126.2
Auto22.7
Teleop107.6
End-0.2
red by 23.5
8429
#18
106.60.3
104.8→104.5
Auto22.5
Teleop84.3
End-0.2
Second
4561
#4
127.20.0
123.2→123.3
Auto23.4
Teleop103.8
End0.1
red by 28.6
7890
#9
98.70.3
96.8→96.6
Auto15.8
Teleop82.9
End0.1
Third
7763
#24
37.60.0
34.9→34.9
Auto2.7
Teleop34.5
End0.3
blue by 38.4
8727
#20
76.00.3
74.2→73.9
Auto10.2
Teleop66.3
End-0.4