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Qual 962026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red201
319641.5
3506113.2
1030237.8
Blue177
650285.2
820535.1
689453.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196199180190210220230201177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+35Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
40Fuel19
25Tower11
65Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +4
27Transition26
42Shifts 1–249
40Shifts 3–439
27Endgame fuel18
136Total teleop132
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points15
201Total score177
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3506
#10
113.20.8
111.9→112.6
Auto22.4
Teleop90.9
End-0.1
red by 28.0
6502
#14
85.22.0
90.2→88.2
Auto15.9
Teleop68.3
End1.1
Second
3196
#28
41.50.8
40.7→41.5
Auto7.8
Teleop33.7
End-0.0
blue by 12.0
6894
#50
53.42.0
60.6→58.6
Auto11.7
Teleop41.1
End0.6
Third
10302
#42
37.80.8
37.1→37.8
Auto11.9
Teleop26.0
End-0.1
red by 2.8
8205
#47
35.12.0
41.1→39.1
Auto6.8
Teleop28.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
40%Energized oddsMissed35%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed