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Qual 812026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red100
264058.5
333627.6
482872.6
Blue160
688839.6
600438.7
493563.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163157050100200250300350100160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+31Auto
Teleop+70
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousRed +31
32Fuel9
22Tower14
54Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +101
5Transition19
10Shifts 1–251
13Shifts 3–435
8Endgame fuel32
36Total teleop137
EndgameRed +10
10Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
100Total score160
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4828
#7
72.63.8
76.8→73.0
Auto19.1
Teleop52.1
End1.3
red by 8.8
4935
#12
63.80.5
69.9→70.4
Auto8.7
Teleop55.3
End-0.3
Second
2640
#23
58.53.8
53.2→49.4
Auto15.1
Teleop43.1
End0.3
red by 18.9
6888
#34
39.60.5
37.8→38.4
Auto11.3
Teleop28.5
End-0.2
Third
3336
#45
27.63.8
26.7→22.9
Auto8.0
Teleop19.1
End0.5
blue by 11.2
6004
#16
38.70.5
44.4→44.9
Auto7.1
Teleop31.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
9%Energized oddsMissed14%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
3%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed