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Qual 532026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red148
875729.2
4795130.1
122559.3
Blue135
205990.9
1030237.8
650285.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211194100150250300350148135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+11Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
16Fuel7
10Tower8
26Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +2
18Transition19
49Shifts 1–251
31Shifts 3–424
24Endgame fuel26
122Total teleop120
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
148Total score135
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4795
#3
130.13.6
124.0→120.5
Auto22.7
Teleop107.6
End-0.2
red by 39.2
2059
#13
90.93.7
85.1→81.4
Auto10.6
Teleop80.2
End0.1
Second
1225
#30
59.33.6
54.7→51.2
Auto9.9
Teleop48.5
End0.9
blue by 25.9
6502
#14
85.23.7
72.2→68.5
Auto15.9
Teleop68.3
End1.1
Third
8757
#26
29.23.6
22.7→19.1
Auto8.1
Teleop21.2
End-0.1
blue by 8.6
10302
#42
37.83.7
32.6→28.9
Auto11.9
Teleop26.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
50%Energized oddsMissed58%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed