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Qual 482026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red187
650285.2
1117947.7
688839.6
Blue185
929763.0
955928.3
6500113.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1432280100200300400187185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+21Auto
+7Teleop
+7Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
28Fuel21
23Tower9
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Transition25
54Shifts 1–247
43Shifts 3–458
26Endgame fuel20
136Total teleop150
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points5
187Total score185
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6502
#14
85.22.5
69.6→72.2
Auto15.9
Teleop68.3
End1.1
blue by 28.5
6500
#5
113.72.0
99.2→97.2
Auto19.7
Teleop94.4
End-0.3
Second
11179
#17
47.72.5
42.5→45.0
Auto15.2
Teleop32.3
End0.3
blue by 15.2
9297
#31
63.02.0
78.6→76.6
Auto6.3
Teleop56.9
End-0.2
Third
6888
#34
39.62.5
36.9→39.4
Auto11.3
Teleop28.5
End-0.2
red by 11.3
9559
#39
28.32.0
31.7→29.8
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
25%Energized oddsMissed76%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed