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Qual 282026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red160
8429106.6
1007728.9
319641.5
Blue52
1114617.1
978818.1
1024821.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14343010020025030016052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+5Auto
+108Teleop
+108Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
15Fuel15
14Tower9
29Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +103
22Transition2
46Shifts 1–213
31Shifts 3–48
32Endgame fuel5
131Total teleop28
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +108
0Foul points0
160Total score52
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8429
#18
106.62.3
70.7→73.0
Auto22.5
Teleop84.3
End-0.2
red by 85.0
10248
#44
21.60.2
23.3→23.2
Auto6.6
Teleop15.2
End-0.1
Second
3196
#28
41.52.3
32.7→35.0
Auto7.8
Teleop33.7
End-0.0
red by 23.3
9788
#49
18.10.2
17.5→17.4
Auto3.8
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
10077
#40
28.92.3
22.3→24.5
Auto7.4
Teleop21.1
End0.3
red by 11.8
11146
#38
17.10.2
13.7→13.5
Auto10.5
Teleop6.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
32%Energized oddsMissed2%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed