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Qual 262026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red118
1030237.8
264058.5
929763.0
Blue154
2724116.3
560744.3
1012113.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173170100150200250118154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +14
21Fuel29
14Tower20
35Total auto49
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Transition12
24Shifts 1–234
22Shifts 3–414
11Endgame fuel10
68Total teleop70
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +36
15Foul points35
118Total score154
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9297
#31
63.04.1
85.0→80.8
Auto6.3
Teleop56.9
End-0.2
blue by 53.3
2724
#6
116.33.2
112.8→109.6
Auto24.1
Teleop92.3
End-0.2
Second
2640
#23
58.54.1
46.3→42.2
Auto15.1
Teleop43.1
End0.3
red by 14.2
5607
#33
44.33.2
42.0→38.8
Auto12.2
Teleop32.3
End-0.2
Third
10302
#42
37.84.1
33.8→29.7
Auto11.9
Teleop26.0
End-0.1
red by 24.5
10121
#48
13.33.2
12.1→8.9
Auto3.8
Teleop9.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
65%Energized oddsMissed47%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
3%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed