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Qual 102026 FIRST North Carolina State Championship
Red95
915023.9
955928.3
8429106.6
Blue129
4561127.2
560744.3
264058.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13518305010025030035040095129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +3
24Fuel30
29Tower26
53Total auto56
TeleoperatedBlue +31
7Transition10
17Shifts 1–232
13Shifts 3–422
5Endgame fuel9
42Total teleop73
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
95Total score129
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8429
#18
106.62.7
74.0→71.2
Auto22.5
Teleop84.3
End-0.2
blue by 20.6
4561
#4
127.22.8
82.6→79.9
Auto23.4
Teleop103.8
End0.1
Second
9559
#39
28.32.7
39.1→36.4
Auto8.9
Teleop19.4
End0.1
blue by 30.2
2640
#23
58.52.8
48.4→45.7
Auto15.1
Teleop43.1
End0.3
Third
9150
#29
23.92.7
23.1→20.4
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End-0.2
blue by 20.4
5607
#33
44.32.8
39.4→36.7
Auto12.2
Teleop32.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
39%Energized oddsMissed75%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed