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Qual 612026 Lake Superior Regional
Red139
1122347.4
842233.4
534868.8
Blue118
308236.1
369127.7
286147.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162101050200250300139118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+12Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
12Fuel12
22Tower10
34Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +6
7Transition15
35Shifts 1–240
31Shifts 3–423
17Endgame fuel18
90Total teleop96
EndgameRed +10
10Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +21
5Foul points0
139Total score118
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5348
#4
68.81.7
66.7→65.0
Auto14.8
Teleop48.6
End5.5
red by 21.0
2861
#16
47.81.5
42.8→44.3
Auto5.7
Teleop43.1
End-0.9
Second
11223
#11
47.41.7
48.2→46.4
Auto11.3
Teleop36.2
End0.0
red by 11.3
3082
#28
36.11.5
37.0→38.5
Auto7.1
Teleop28.9
End0.1
Third
8422
#14
33.41.7
37.2→35.5
Auto7.9
Teleop23.5
End2.1
red by 5.7
3691
#41
27.71.5
22.6→24.1
Auto4.6
Teleop22.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
73%Energized oddsEarned45%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed