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Qual 452026 Rainbow Rumble
Red279
654819.4
5460228.5
283453.1
Blue157
557730.3
432760.6
3656108.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142180100400500279157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+30Auto
+182Teleop
+182Endgame
+122Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
52Fuel22
22Tower22
74Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +152
41Transition5
65Shifts 1–224
78Shifts 3–415
21Endgame fuel9
205Total teleop53
Endgamelevel
50Tower50
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +122
0Foul points60
279Total score157
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#1
228.52.4
226.7→229.1
Auto63.4
Teleop150.3
End14.8
red by 120.2
3656
#8
108.34.8
116.5→111.7
Auto23.0
Teleop69.7
End15.6
Second
2834
#11
53.12.4
48.0→50.4
Auto4.0
Teleop35.6
End13.5
blue by 7.5
4327
#29
60.64.8
72.4→67.6
Auto7.2
Teleop40.7
End12.7
Third
6548
#26
19.42.4
18.4→20.8
Auto1.7
Teleop3.7
End14.0
blue by 10.9
5577
#22
30.34.8
29.9→25.1
Auto6.4
Teleop11.1
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
42%Energized oddsEarned25%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
8%Supercharged oddsMissed7%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
40%Traversal oddsEarned33%Traversal oddsEarned