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Qual 42026 FIM District Marysville Event
Red90
89479.3
81854.6
496120.1
Blue70
609128.3
925222.5
2851104.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371050502002503003504009070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+17Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
8Fuel1
11Tower1
19Total auto2
TeleoperatedRed +18
9Transition5
21Shifts 1–227
28Shifts 3–411
13Endgame fuel10
71Total teleop53
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points15
90Total score70
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
894
#5
79.34.3
44.2→39.9
Auto17.4
Teleop61.1
End0.8
blue by 24.7
2851
#3
104.05.6
57.1→51.6
Auto27.1
Teleop77.3
End-0.3
Second
818
#15
54.64.3
54.1→49.9
Auto11.5
Teleop43.7
End-0.5
red by 26.3
6091
#31
28.35.6
21.4→15.9
Auto7.3
Teleop20.5
End0.5
Third
4961
#24
20.14.3
30.0→25.8
Auto6.4
Teleop14.1
End-0.4
blue by 2.4
9252
#36
22.55.6
26.5→20.9
Auto6.2
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
52%Energized oddsMissed42%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed