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Qual 422026 FIM District Escanaba Event
Red204
482736.5
439299.8
924935.7
Blue51
607914.3
1062248.8
608831.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16469010020030040020451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+8Auto
+153Teleop
+153Endgame
+153Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
11Fuel10
17Tower10
28Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +145
22Transition3
78Shifts 1–213
62Shifts 3–410
14Endgame fuel5
176Total teleop31
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +153
0Foul points0
204Total score51
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#4
99.83.9
87.0→90.8
Auto19.6
Teleop80.5
End-0.3
red by 50.9
10622
#14
48.81.9
34.0→32.1
Auto9.8
Teleop36.8
End2.2
Second
4827
#23
36.53.9
18.6→22.4
Auto8.9
Teleop28.0
End-0.4
red by 4.7
6088
#27
31.81.9
28.5→26.7
Auto8.4
Teleop23.7
End-0.2
Third
9249
#24
35.73.9
40.7→44.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.4
End0.7
red by 21.4
6079
#31
14.31.9
16.5→14.7
Auto4.4
Teleop9.8
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
48%Energized oddsEarned43%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed