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Match 22026 MA State Championship
Red381
971037.0
10254195.7
8013126.2
Blue490
490567.3
4909127.2
964484.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882460100200300500600700381490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+31Auto
Teleop+94
Endgame+94
Fouls+109
AutonomousRed +31
76Fuel53
41Tower33
117Total auto86
TeleoperatedBlue +125
36Transition64
126Shifts 1–2149
42Shifts 3–4103
45Endgame fuel58
249Total teleop374
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Penalties & totalBlue +109
15Foul points30
381Total score490
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10254
#8
195.70.1
196.1→196.2
Auto35.2
Teleop160.7
End-0.2
red by 68.5
4909
#12
127.24.5
119.3→123.8
Auto24.2
Teleop102.2
End0.8
Second
8013
#6
126.20.1
126.5→126.7
Auto25.6
Teleop98.8
End1.8
red by 41.5
9644
#7
84.74.5
76.7→81.3
Auto22.6
Teleop62.4
End-0.3
Third
9710
#25
37.00.1
37.4→37.5
Auto11.8
Teleop25.2
End-0.0
blue by 30.3
4905
#18
67.34.5
59.3→63.9
Auto17.0
Teleop50.6
End-0.3