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Qual 152026 MA State Championship
Red456
10254195.7
1153151.7
287658.6
Blue337
111942.0
5000215.2
596255.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395346100200300500600456337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+1
+124Teleop
+124Endgame
+119Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
45Fuel58
42Tower30
87Total auto88
TeleoperatedRed +125
73Transition45
96Shifts 1–2102
114Shifts 3–464
86Endgame fuel33
369Total teleop244
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +119
0Foul points5
456Total score337
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10254
#8
195.75.3
185.8→191.0
Auto35.2
Teleop160.7
End-0.2
blue by 19.5
5000
#13
215.20.6
229.5→229.0
Auto46.0
Teleop169.2
End0.0
Second
1153
#5
151.75.3
140.9→146.2
Auto24.6
Teleop127.6
End-0.5
red by 96.1
5962
#17
55.60.6
65.2→64.6
Auto15.8
Teleop40.4
End-0.6
Third
2876
#20
58.65.3
50.2→55.5
Auto16.8
Teleop41.9
End-0.1
red by 16.6
1119
#24
42.00.6
45.7→45.1
Auto12.0
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
89%Energized oddsEarned85%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
35%Supercharged oddsEarned41%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed