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Qual 282026 Heartland Regional
Red249
184710.9
1986125.5
512646.2
Blue101
176310.2
441829.4
93537.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223320100200300400500249101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+11Auto
+143Teleop
+143Endgame
+148Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
21Fuel9
8Tower9
29Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +132
25Transition14
71Shifts 1–238
61Shifts 3–418
58Endgame fuel13
215Total teleop83
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +148
5Foul points0
249Total score101
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#2
125.55.9
118.7→124.6
Auto24.5
Teleop100.9
End0.1
red by 88.5
935
#24
37.05.0
28.5→33.5
Auto5.6
Teleop31.5
End-0.1
Second
5126
#14
46.25.9
44.1→50.0
Auto7.9
Teleop38.3
End-0.0
red by 16.8
4418
#18
29.43.0
24.9→27.9
Auto11.5
Teleop17.9
End-0.1
Third
1847
#26
10.95.9
27.9→33.8
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End-0.2
red by 0.6
1763
#39
10.25.0
2.4→7.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
72%Energized oddsEarned17%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed