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Qual 262026 Iowa Regional
Red109
784862.6
22279.9
329819.5
Blue61
555747.8
1124112.5
1121044.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8313905010020025030010961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+5
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
9Fuel9
6Tower11
15Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +53
15Transition6
24Shifts 1–213
38Shifts 3–412
12Endgame fuel5
89Total teleop36
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +48
5Foul points5
109Total score61
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7848
#16
62.61.1
59.0→60.1
Auto5.5
Teleop57.4
End-0.3
red by 14.7
5557
#41
47.87.9
53.3→45.4
Auto14.6
Teleop32.3
End0.9
Second
3298
#28
19.51.1
17.0→18.1
Auto5.6
Teleop12.6
End1.2
blue by 25.1
11210
#21
44.57.9
33.5→25.6
Auto12.0
Teleop31.6
End1.0
Third
2227
#47
9.91.1
11.5→12.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End-0.5
blue by 2.7
11241
#51
12.57.9
40.2→32.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
25%Energized oddsEarned55%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
1%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed