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Qual 202026 Iowa Regional
Red359
4728161.9
873721.5
6419105.2
Blue189
64841.2
96772.5
3928141.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225219200250300350359189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+21
+175Teleop
+175Endgame
+170Fouls
AutonomousBlue +21
27Fuel37
24Tower35
51Total auto72
TeleoperatedRed +196
45Transition20
148Shifts 1–234
66Shifts 3–440
49Endgame fuel18
308Total teleop112
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +170
0Foul points5
359Total score189
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
#5
161.915.8
108.9→124.7
Auto25.3
Teleop136.3
End0.4
red by 20.4
3928
#9
141.51.9
114.6→112.7
Auto26.0
Teleop115.7
End-0.2
Second
6419
#10
105.29.5
94.1→103.6
Auto18.0
Teleop87.6
End-0.3
red by 32.7
967
#12
72.51.9
64.5→62.6
Auto10.0
Teleop63.2
End-0.6
Third
8737
#42
21.515.8
13.5→29.3
Auto9.3
Teleop12.1
End0.2
blue by 19.7
648
#37
41.21.9
33.8→31.8
Auto12.6
Teleop26.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
88%Energized oddsEarned91%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
3%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed