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Qual 232026 Hawaii Regional
Red171
285337.2
90122.0
6497121.4
Blue64
244348.7
772421.9
388012.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16311105020025030035017164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+12
+102Teleop
+102Endgame
+107Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
10Fuel18
12Tower16
22Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +114
19Transition5
60Shifts 1–211
39Shifts 3–49
26Endgame fuel5
144Total teleop30
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +107
5Foul points0
171Total score64
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6497
#2
121.41.1
91.2→92.3
Auto20.5
Teleop100.5
End0.4
red by 72.7
2443
#5
48.75.6
47.8→42.2
Auto6.3
Teleop42.5
End-0.1
Second
2853
#8
37.21.8
47.1→48.9
Auto6.1
Teleop30.6
End0.6
red by 15.3
7724
#29
21.95.6
37.5→31.8
Auto8.6
Teleop7.7
End5.6
Third
9012
#13
2.01.8
11.7→13.5
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.1
End1.4
blue by 10.9
3880
#27
12.95.6
29.5→23.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
70%Energized oddsEarned51%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed