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Qual 62026 CIAC CT State Championship
Red302
107152.5
230117.5
55867.7
Blue227
17561.6
17873.5
177100.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2122600100300400500600700800302227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+7
+85Teleop
+85Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
16Fuel29
20Tower14
36Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +92
39Transition37
90Shifts 1–249
90Shifts 3–445
47Endgame fuel43
266Total teleop174
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points10
302Total score227
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#5
117.56.1
104.7→110.8
Auto12.9
Teleop103.7
End0.9
red by 17.0
177
#18
100.51.9
85.4→83.5
Auto17.1
Teleop84.3
End-0.9
Second
558
#16
67.76.1
66.1→72.2
Auto15.5
Teleop52.1
End0.1
blue by 5.9
178
#11
73.51.9
82.8→80.9
Auto12.7
Teleop61.5
End-0.6
Third
1071
#6
52.56.1
39.8→45.9
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End-0.1
blue by 9.1
175
#21
61.61.9
77.4→75.5
Auto14.2
Teleop43.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
67%Energized oddsEarned70%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
6%Supercharged oddsMissed8%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed