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Qual 152026 CIAC CT State Championship
Red342
457245.1
195232.2
15576.7
Blue299
7407162.0
17379.2
230117.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320401100200500600700342299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+23Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
37Fuel26
47Tower35
84Total auto61
TeleoperatedRed +5
20Transition48
105Shifts 1–282
59Shifts 3–481
54Endgame fuel22
238Total teleop233
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +43
20Foul points5
342Total score299
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
232.20.3
215.9→216.2
Auto50.8
Teleop181.8
End-0.4
red by 70.2
7407
#19
162.05.7
176.1→170.5
Auto37.4
Teleop124.5
End0.1
Second
155
#10
76.70.3
72.0→72.3
Auto15.3
Teleop61.6
End-0.2
blue by 40.8
230
#5
117.55.7
115.6→110.0
Auto12.9
Teleop103.7
End0.9
Third
4572
#15
45.10.3
29.4→29.7
Auto14.0
Teleop31.0
End0.2
blue by 34.1
173
#22
79.25.7
87.1→81.4
Auto13.6
Teleop65.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
77%Energized oddsEarned95%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
36%Supercharged oddsMissed42%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed