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Qual 512026 Shanghai Regional
Red182
552232.5
801198.8
643323.8
Blue179
639935.9
584943.4
670699.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14616050100200250300182179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+10Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
25Fuel18
18Tower15
43Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +7
14Transition16
71Shifts 1–273
29Shifts 3–429
25Endgame fuel28
139Total teleop146
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
182Total score179
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8011
#11
98.84.4
83.2→87.6
Auto17.7
Teleop81.7
End-0.5
blue by 0.9
6706
#15
99.62.9
85.5→88.5
Auto18.4
Teleop80.4
End0.9
Second
5522
#35
32.54.4
33.5→37.8
Auto6.9
Teleop24.1
End1.5
blue by 11.0
5849
#41
43.42.9
40.5→43.4
Auto8.6
Teleop35.4
End-0.6
Third
6433
#12
23.84.4
26.0→30.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End-0.4
blue by 12.0
6399
#32
35.92.9
26.6→29.5
Auto0.9
Teleop34.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
56%Energized oddsEarned63%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
4%Supercharged oddsMissed3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed