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Qual 232026 Shanghai Regional
Red154
1055820.2
6986104.0
1111874.2
Blue204
643323.8
648771.3
641425.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140108050200250300154204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+55
Endgame+55
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +13
10Fuel21
8Tower10
18Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +42
20Transition28
64Shifts 1–248
23Shifts 3–466
24Endgame fuel31
131Total teleop173
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +50
5Foul points0
154Total score204
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6986
#13
104.02.0
60.3→62.3
Auto18.7
Teleop85.6
End-0.2
red by 32.8
6487
#8
71.310.6
61.4→72.1
Auto13.8
Teleop56.6
End0.8
Second
11118
#17
74.22.0
36.3→38.3
Auto11.9
Teleop61.9
End0.4
red by 48.7
6414
#36
25.510.6
35.5→46.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.7
End0.1
Third
10558
#44
20.22.0
34.6→36.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.5
End-0.3
blue by 3.7
6433
#12
23.810.6
11.4→22.0
Auto7.2
Teleop17.1
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
55%Energized oddsEarned53%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed