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Qual 102026 CA District Sacramento Event
Red232
670107.7
207363.2
527441.7
Blue206
545865.2
572831.7
185765.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157119050100200250300232206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+6
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
15Fuel15
12Tower18
27Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +32
26Transition20
83Shifts 1–274
51Shifts 3–460
45Endgame fuel19
205Total teleop173
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
232Total score206
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#2
107.75.7
48.3→54.0
Auto19.4
Teleop87.9
End0.3
red by 42.4
5458
#17
65.29.5
51.5→61.0
Auto14.0
Teleop51.4
End-0.1
Second
2073
#28
63.29.5
59.9→69.4
Auto9.5
Teleop53.9
End-0.2
blue by 1.7
1857
#16
65.05.7
54.4→60.1
Auto10.8
Teleop53.8
End0.4
Third
5274
#27
41.79.5
38.3→47.8
Auto8.3
Teleop32.9
End0.5
red by 9.9
5728
#38
31.79.5
14.5→24.0
Auto6.3
Teleop25.1
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
52%Energized oddsEarned45%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed