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Match 132026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red656
666528.6
1678273.7
9470254.5
Blue383
971116.2
3256179.1
972169.5
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5804732004008001,000656383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+70Auto
+273Teleop
+273Endgame
+273Fouls
AutonomousRed +70
86Fuel36
49Tower29
135Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +203
108Transition28
164Shifts 1–2136
193Shifts 3–498
51Endgame fuel51
516Total teleop313
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Penalties & totalRed +273
5Foul points5
656Total score383
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#6
273.72.3
270.7→273.0
Auto63.3
Teleop209.6
End0.8
red by 94.6
3256
#13
179.12.1
181.2→179.1
Auto45.8
Teleop133.3
End-0.0
Second
9470
#2
254.52.3
251.5→253.8
Auto54.0
Teleop200.6
End-0.1
red by 85.0
972
#7
169.52.1
171.6→169.5
Auto23.6
Teleop145.8
End0.1
Third
6665
#40
28.62.3
25.5→27.8
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End-0.1
blue by 87.6
971
#21
116.22.1
118.2→116.2
Auto15.3
Teleop100.9
End-0.0