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Match 112026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red653
6238114.3
1323314.5
254343.1
Blue523
666528.6
1678273.7
9470254.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9015192004006008001,0001,200653523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+86Auto
+100Teleop
+100Endgame
+130Fouls
AutonomousRed +86
113Fuel78
82Tower31
195Total auto109
TeleoperatedRed +14
34Transition74
177Shifts 1–2145
155Shifts 3–4126
62Endgame fuel69
428Total teleop414
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Penalties & totalRed +130
30Foul points0
653Total score523
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
343.14.5
360.3→355.9
Auto73.0
Teleop270.1
End0.0
red by 69.4
1678
#6
273.70.6
271.2→270.7
Auto63.3
Teleop209.6
End0.8
Second
1323
#3
314.54.5
331.8→327.3
Auto71.5
Teleop243.1
End-0.0
red by 60.0
9470
#2
254.50.6
252.1→251.5
Auto54.0
Teleop200.6
End-0.1
Third
6238
#15
114.34.5
131.6→127.1
Auto25.0
Teleop89.3
End0.0
red by 85.8
6665
#40
28.60.6
26.1→25.5
Auto6.4
Teleop22.2
End-0.1