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Qual 622026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red377
840107.9
2135109.7
4698189.9
Blue342
1033927.5
2073160.7
8048129.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052900100200500600700377342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+32Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
60Fuel32
40Tower36
100Total auto68
TeleoperatedBlue +12
31Transition36
70Shifts 1–2126
96Shifts 3–485
65Endgame fuel27
262Total teleop274
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +35
15Foul points0
377Total score342
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#19
189.91.0
172.7→171.7
Auto45.0
Teleop144.7
End0.2
red by 29.3
2073
#11
160.73.1
137.2→140.3
Auto28.3
Teleop132.4
End0.0
Second
2135
#36
109.71.0
113.2→112.2
Auto17.7
Teleop91.6
End0.4
blue by 19.7
8048
#17
129.53.1
128.7→131.9
Auto27.9
Teleop101.7
End-0.2
Third
840
#38
107.91.0
91.2→90.2
Auto17.7
Teleop90.5
End-0.2
red by 80.4
10339
#43
27.53.1
28.9→32.1
Auto6.0
Teleop21.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
97%Energized oddsEarned89%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
15%Supercharged oddsEarned9%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed