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Qual 232026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red229
846163.6
25351.1
581782.1
Blue515
11494.8
9470254.5
766794.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3214510100200400500600700229515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+55
Teleop+286
Endgame+286
Fouls+286
AutonomousBlue +55
17Fuel50
25Tower47
42Total auto97
TeleoperatedBlue +231
32Transition46
74Shifts 1–2190
52Shifts 3–4141
29Endgame fuel41
187Total teleop418
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +286
0Foul points0
229Total score515
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
#18
163.66.5
165.9→159.4
Auto36.0
Teleop127.9
End-0.3
blue by 90.9
9470
#2
254.56.3
258.7→265.0
Auto54.0
Teleop200.6
End-0.1
Second
5817
#41
82.16.5
101.9→95.4
Auto23.0
Teleop58.9
End0.2
blue by 12.7
114
#12
94.86.3
71.5→77.8
Auto23.1
Teleop72.1
End-0.4
Third
253
#51
51.16.5
58.9→52.4
Auto19.0
Teleop32.6
End-0.5
blue by 43.2
7667
#33
94.36.3
89.7→96.0
Auto19.9
Teleop74.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
95%Energized oddsMissed97%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
5%Supercharged oddsMissed37%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed