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Qual 22026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red537
581209.5
3501135.6
2813175.3
Blue821
846163.6
1323314.5
3045200.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464653200300400500600700800900537821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+94
Teleop+284
Endgame+284
Fouls+284
AutonomousBlue +94
17Fuel65
8Tower54
25Total auto119
TeleoperatedBlue +190
49Transition95
227Shifts 1–2268
133Shifts 3–4248
98Endgame fuel86
507Total teleop697
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +284
5Foul points5
537Total score821
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#9
209.54.0
194.1→198.1
Auto44.0
Teleop165.7
End-0.2
blue by 105.0
1323
#3
314.513.9
311.3→325.3
Auto71.5
Teleop243.1
End-0.0
Second
2813
#10
175.34.0
174.4→178.4
Auto27.6
Teleop147.9
End-0.2
blue by 25.3
3045
#5
200.613.9
141.8→155.7
Auto39.7
Teleop160.6
End0.3
Third
3501
#16
135.64.0
104.1→108.0
Auto17.1
Teleop118.6
End-0.1
blue by 28.0
846
#18
163.613.9
154.1→168.0
Auto36.0
Teleop127.9
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
99%Energized oddsEarned100%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
42%Supercharged oddsEarned78%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed