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Qual 192026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red270
4698189.9
70158.6
76659.7
Blue286
972169.5
3970119.0
666241.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493140100200400500600700270286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+16
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +2
31Fuel32
15Tower16
46Total auto48
TeleoperatedBlue +14
36Transition25
55Shifts 1–2125
74Shifts 3–462
59Endgame fuel26
224Total teleop238
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
270Total score286
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4698
#19
189.91.4
157.6→159.0
Auto45.0
Teleop144.7
End0.2
red by 20.4
972
#7
169.50.6
143.6→142.9
Auto23.6
Teleop145.8
End0.1
Second
766
#54
59.71.4
49.3→50.6
Auto11.6
Teleop47.9
End0.2
blue by 59.4
3970
#22
119.00.6
113.2→112.6
Auto23.7
Teleop95.6
End-0.3
Third
701
#42
58.61.4
42.3→43.7
Auto10.6
Teleop48.4
End-0.3
red by 16.8
6662
#47
41.80.6
38.8→38.1
Auto16.0
Teleop21.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
91%Energized oddsEarned94%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
3%Supercharged oddsMissed9%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed