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Qual 1122026 FIRST California Northern State Championship
Red296
666241.8
3045200.6
67095.5
Blue571
840107.9
9470254.5
971116.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344491100200300400600700296571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+64
Teleop+250
Endgame+250
Fouls+275
AutonomousBlue +64
16Fuel56
12Tower36
28Total auto92
TeleoperatedBlue +186
48Transition70
123Shifts 1–2140
55Shifts 3–4139
37Endgame fuel100
263Total teleop449
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +275
5Foul points30
296Total score571
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#5
200.64.0
205.8→201.8
Auto39.7
Teleop160.6
End0.3
blue by 53.9
9470
#2
254.55.6
246.1→251.7
Auto54.0
Teleop200.6
End-0.1
Second
670
#45
95.54.0
99.5→95.5
Auto19.1
Teleop76.7
End-0.3
blue by 20.7
971
#21
116.25.6
107.9→113.6
Auto15.3
Teleop100.9
End-0.0
Third
6662
#47
41.84.0
45.8→41.8
Auto16.0
Teleop21.9
End3.9
blue by 66.1
840
#38
107.95.6
102.3→107.9
Auto17.7
Teleop90.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
84%Energized oddsEarned98%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
14%Supercharged oddsMissed74%Supercharged oddsEarned
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed