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Qual 222026 Duel Down Under
Red179
99840.4
6510130.8
6497119.2
Blue109
1000280.7
998311.4
743355.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2841490100200400500600179109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+23Auto
+50Teleop
+50Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
24Fuel11
18Tower8
42Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +27
16Transition14
41Shifts 1–220
25Shifts 3–425
20Endgame fuel16
102Total teleop75
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +70
35Foul points15
179Total score109
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6510
#4
130.87.3
112.0→104.8
Auto23.0
Teleop107.7
End0.0
red by 50.1
10002
#7
80.74.1
63.7→59.6
Auto13.5
Teleop67.3
End-0.2
Second
6497
#6
119.27.3
123.0→115.7
Auto30.1
Teleop89.0
End0.1
red by 64.0
7433
#20
55.24.1
84.6→80.5
Auto14.2
Teleop40.5
End0.3
Third
9984
#16
0.412.1
17.8→5.7
Auto8.7
Teleop-7.9
End-0.1
blue by 11.0
9983
#18
11.46.8
6.9→0.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.1
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
81%Energized oddsEarned61%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed1%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed