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Qual 282026 Arkansas Regional
Red107
875334.1
545468.2
234128.6
Blue157
3937142.8
748311.8
111027.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90154050200250107157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
12Fuel18
8Tower23
20Total auto41
TeleoperatedBlue +9
18Transition16
32Shifts 1–228
17Shifts 3–430
20Endgame fuel22
87Total teleop96
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points20
107Total score157
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#4
68.21.2
41.0→42.2
Auto11.9
Teleop56.7
End-0.4
blue by 74.5
3937
#3
142.80.4
113.7→113.3
Auto23.7
Teleop118.3
End0.8
Second
8753
#9
34.11.2
24.1→25.3
Auto9.6
Teleop19.7
End4.9
red by 22.3
7483
#14
11.80.4
18.1→17.8
Auto7.0
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Third
2341
#12
28.60.7
30.8→31.6
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End-0.7
red by 21.0
11102
#19
7.60.4
8.5→8.2
Auto6.8
Teleop-0.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
28%Energized oddsEarned65%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed