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Qual 152026 Arkansas Regional
Red140
1696.5
460315.1
547280.4
Blue159
4499175.9
618618.5
12727.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192232100150250300350400140159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousRed +7
16Fuel12
11Tower8
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +26
15Transition26
35Shifts 1–243
37Shifts 3–441
26Endgame fuel29
113Total teleop139
Endgamelevel
0Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
140Total score159
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#5
96.55.6
101.1→95.5
Auto11.8
Teleop85.6
End-0.9
blue by 79.4
4499
#1
175.94.0
137.3→133.3
Auto26.7
Teleop147.3
End1.9
Second
5472
#8
80.45.6
63.2→57.6
Auto21.0
Teleop59.2
End0.2
red by 52.8
127
#20
27.64.0
46.3→42.3
Auto5.0
Teleop22.0
End0.5
Third
4603
#23
15.15.6
26.3→20.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.5
End0.1
blue by 3.4
6186
#17
18.56.6
35.2→28.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
62%Energized oddsEarned76%Energized oddsEarned
Supercharged
3%Supercharged oddsMissed3%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed