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Qual 122026 Arkansas Regional
Red126
346837.3
875334.1
642436.4
Blue76
547280.4
618618.5
234128.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8715805020025030012676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownREBUILT
Margin
Auto+8
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
13Fuel25
13Tower9
26Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +48
16Transition9
29Shifts 1–210
31Shifts 3–413
14Endgame fuel10
90Total teleop42
EndgameRed +10
10Tower0
Ranking points
Energized
Supercharged
Traversal
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
126Total score76
Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3468
#15
37.33.7
38.8→42.5
Auto8.9
Teleop28.3
End0.1
blue by 43.1
5472
#8
80.47.5
70.7→63.2
Auto21.0
Teleop59.2
End0.2
Second
6424
#7
36.42.2
37.8→40.0
Auto4.1
Teleop31.8
End0.5
red by 7.8
2341
#12
28.64.5
29.9→25.5
Auto4.7
Teleop24.6
End-0.7
Third
8753
#9
34.13.7
16.1→19.8
Auto9.6
Teleop19.7
End4.9
red by 15.7
6186
#17
18.57.5
42.7→35.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.7
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Energized
30%Energized oddsEarned49%Energized oddsMissed
Supercharged
2%Supercharged oddsMissed2%Supercharged oddsMissed
Traversal
0%Traversal oddsMissed0%Traversal oddsMissed