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Red165
657454.9
250650.1
219443.6
Blue131
622356.4
235827.1
791546.7
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156134100200250165131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+46Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points27
40Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +42
24Coral scored#16
87Coral points59
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
111Total teleop69
Reef
14L4#8
10L3#6
3L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
165Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6574
#21
54.90.4
53.654.1
Auto9.2
Teleop36.7
End8.9
blue by 1.5
6223
#13
56.40.0
56.456.4
Auto10.0
Teleop38.5
End7.9
Second
50.10.4
48.849.3
Auto6.7
Teleop34.8
End8.7
red by 3.4
7915
#23
46.70.0
46.746.7
Auto7.1
Teleop32.0
End7.6
Third
2194
#22
43.60.4
42.342.8
Auto11.7
Teleop29.6
End2.3
red by 16.5
27.10.0
27.127.1
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End8.2